FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 25 October 2026
AZ Alkmaar 0–2 FC TwenteMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AZ Alkmaar win
37%
Draw
25%
FC Twente win
38%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.6
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 2.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.