How it finished
Nashville SC beat Austin FC 4–1. Austin FC had 11 shots (5 on target) to Nashville SC's 24 (11), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 4.9.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who won Austin FC vs Nashville SC?
Nashville SC beat Austin FC 4–1. Austin FC had 11 shots (5 on target) to Nashville SC's 24 (11), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 4.9.
What was the final score in Austin FC vs Nashville SC?
Austin FC 1–4 Nashville SC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 26%, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 49%.
What were the stats in Austin FC vs Nashville SC?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–4.9, Shots 11–24, Shots on target 5–11, Shots inside box 7–21, Big chances 2–9, Corners 4–6, Saves 7–4, Fouls 5–10, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Austin FC vs Nashville SC?
Yes — both Austin FC and Nashville SC scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.