FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 25 October 2026

Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin FCMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026

Pre-match probability vs result

Sporting Kansas City win
42%
Draw
25%
Austin FC win
33%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.7 – 1.5
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.8
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.

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