How it finished
Athletic Club beat Atlético Madrid 3–0. Bawler's model had Athletic Club in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Athletic Club had 11 shots (4 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 15 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid?
Athletic Club beat Atlético Madrid 3–0. Bawler's model had Athletic Club in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Athletic Club had 11 shots (4 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 15 (5), with 38% of the ball against 62%.
What was the final score in Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid?
Athletic Club 3–0 Atlético Madrid, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 41%, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid 32%.
What were the stats in Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 4–5, Corners 3–8, Saves 5–1, Fouls 8–6, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid?
No. It finished 3–0, so Atlético Madrid failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Athletic Club or draw 68%, it finished Athletic Club won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.