How it finished
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Atalanta had 6 shots (2 on target) to Bologna's 16 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.4, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Atalanta had 6 shots (2 on target) to Bologna's 16 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.4, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta 1–0 Bologna, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 46%, the draw 26% and Bologna 27%.
What were the stats in Atalanta vs Bologna?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.4, Shots 6–16, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Bologna?
No. It finished 1–0, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Bologna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atalanta 46%, it finished Atalanta (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Landed.