FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Marseille 2–0 ToulouseMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Marseille win
45%
Result
Draw
25%
Toulouse win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.4
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.