Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk prediction — Belgian Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK

Belgian Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK
Anderlecht 59Draw 22KV Kortrijk 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Anderlecht or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Anderlecht beat KV Kortrijk 1–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Anderlecht had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Kortrijk's 6 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.5.

AnderlechtFull-time statsKV Kortrijk
58%Possession42%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.5
14Shots6
5Shots on target1
11Shots inside box4
3Big chances1
7Corners2
1Saves4
10Fouls18
1Offsides5
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAnderlecht or draw 81%Anderlecht won (59% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AnderlechtKV Kortrijk
2.0
Goals+1.0
1.1
17.3
Shots+9.2
8.1
6.2
On target+2.3
3.9
6.2
Corners+2.6
3.5
AnderlechtKV Kortrijk
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.8
Shots+4.2
3.7
2.5
On target+0.8
1.7
2.9
Corners+1.2
1.7
AnderlechtKV Kortrijk
1.5
Goals+0.8
0.7
9.4
Shots+5.1
4.4
3.6
On target+1.5
2.1
3.3
Corners+1.4
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Anderlecht to score87%
Over 1.5 goals82%
KV Kortrijk to score66%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Anderlecht
51%
to score before half-time
KV Kortrijk
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

AnderlechtKV Kortrijk
7.81st-half shots3.7
2.51st-half shots on target1.7
2.91st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

61%Chance of 7+ shots12%
39%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
68%Chance of 2+ shots on target49%
26%Chance of 4+ shots on target12%
73%Chance of 2+ corners46%
33%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Anderlecht7.89.4
Shots · KV Kortrijk3.74.4
Shots on target · Anderlecht2.53.6
Shots on target · KV Kortrijk1.72.1
Corners · Anderlecht2.93.3
Corners · KV Kortrijk1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Anderlecht 2 · Draws 2 · KV Kortrijk 1
KV Kortrijk in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jan 2025Kortrijk 0–2 Anderlecht
Nov 2024Anderlecht 4–0 Kortrijk
Mar 2024Anderlecht 0–1 Kortrijk
Sept 2023Kortrijk 2–2 Anderlecht
Feb 2023Kortrijk 2–2 Anderlecht
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Anderlecht beat KV Kortrijk 1–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Anderlecht had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Kortrijk's 6 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Anderlecht 1–0 KV Kortrijk, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 59%, the draw 22% and KV Kortrijk 19%.

What were the stats in Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.5, Shots 14–6, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–1, Corners 7–2, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–18, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

No. It finished 1–0, so KV Kortrijk failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Anderlecht or draw 81%, it finished Anderlecht won (59% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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