Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk prediction — Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK

Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK
Anderlecht 49Draw 26KV Kortrijk 25
The call
49%
Anderlecht to win
2.8
Goals expected
13d 10hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Anderlecht or draw75%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
BTTS54%
Anderlecht win to nil27%
KV Kortrijk or draw51%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AND 2 · D 2 · KOR 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Jan 2025Kortrijk 0–2 Anderlecht
Nov 2024Anderlecht 4–0 Kortrijk
Mar 2024Anderlecht 0–1 Kortrijk
Sept 2023Kortrijk 2–2 Anderlecht
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Common questions

Who will win Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Bawler's model rates this match: Anderlecht are favoured (49% win probability vs 25% for KV Kortrijk, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Anderlecht 1-1 KV Kortrijk (12.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.75.

How does Bawler predict Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Anderlecht 49%, the draw 26% and KV Kortrijk 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.65 and away expected goals 1.10.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Anderlecht vs KV Kortrijk?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.75. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Anderlecht form →KV Kortrijk form →