FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 13 September 2026
RAAL La Louvière 3–0 KV KortrijkMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 13 September 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had RAAL La Louvière at 45%, draw at 27%, KV Kortrijk at 28%. The match ended 3-0 — confirming the model's lean toward RAAL La Louvière.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Louvière win
45%
Actual ✓
Draw
27%
Kortrijk win
28%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
1.50 – 1.13
Total 2.63
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.4 vs xG)
Total goals landed close to the model's expectation — within 0.4 of forecast. Suggests this match played to the underlying xG balance.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 74%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
1X
Pre-match: 72%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 27%
✗ Lost
> What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals forecasts at 74% because RAAL La Louvière's superior attacking output (1.50 xG) outpaces Kortrijk's defensive solidity (1.13 xG), suggesting a combined 2.63 expected goals leans toward a multi-goal result."