FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 06 September 2026
KV Kortrijk 0–2 Zulte-WaregemMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 06 September 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had KV Kortrijk at 30%, draw at 26%, Zulte-Waregem at 44%. The match ended 0-2 — confirming the model's lean toward Zulte-Waregem.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Kortrijk win
30%
Draw
26%
Zulte-Waregem win
44%
Actual ✓
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
1.31 – 1.63
Total 2.93
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (-0.9 vs xG)
Match underperformed xG by 0.9 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 79%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
✗ Lost
> What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals carries a 79% forecast as Zulte-Waregem's 1.62 xG advantage and 44% win probability signal sustained attacking intent against a Kortrijk side generating just 1.31 expected chances."