Al Faisaly beat Al Kholood 3–2. Al Faisaly had 16 shots (6 on target) to Al Kholood's 18 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.8, so Al Kholood created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Al Faisaly beat Al Kholood 3–2. Al Faisaly had 16 shots (6 on target) to Al Kholood's 18 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.8, so Al Kholood created the better chances and still lost the game.
Al Faisaly 3–2 Al Kholood, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Faisaly 35%, the draw 27% and Al Kholood 38%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.8, Shots 16–18, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 4–4, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–2, Fouls 5–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Al Faisaly and Al Kholood scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.