Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 15 Oct · 14:40 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 15 Oct · 14:40 UK
35Al Faisaly win27Draw38Al Kholood win
Full time
3–2

How it finished

Al Faisaly beat Al Kholood 3–2. Al Faisaly had 16 shots (6 on target) to Al Kholood's 18 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.8, so Al Kholood created the better chances and still lost the game.

Al FaisalyFull-time statsAl Kholood
49%Possession51%
1.8Expected goals (xG)2.8
16Shots18
6Shots on target4
8Shots inside box12
4Big chances4
4Corners2
2Saves2
5Fouls13
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Al Kholood win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.3v1.4
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al FaisalyAl FaisalyAl KholoodAl Kholood
1.3Goals1.4
15.0Shots15.0
3.4On target5.6
2.6Corners6.5
Al FaisalyAl FaisalyAl KholoodAl Kholood
0.7Goals0.7
7.1Shots6.9
1.6On target2.4
1.2Corners3.0
Al FaisalyAl FaisalyAl KholoodAl Kholood
0.7Goals0.7
8.0Shots8.0
1.9On target3.2
1.4Corners3.4

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals75%
Al Kholood to score75%
Al Faisaly to score74%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer71%

First half — what we expected

Al Faisaly
49%
to score before half-time
Al Kholood
50%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al FaisalyAl FaisalyAl KholoodAl Kholood
65%6+ shots63%
41%8+ shots39%
74%1+ shots on target88%
22%3+ shots on target42%
34%2+ corners75%
<10%4+ corners36%

League position

Al Kholood in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Faisaly form →Al Kholood form →

Common questions

Who won Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Al Faisaly beat Al Kholood 3–2. Al Faisaly had 16 shots (6 on target) to Al Kholood's 18 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.8, so Al Kholood created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Al Faisaly 3–2 Al Kholood, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Faisaly 35%, the draw 27% and Al Kholood 38%.

What were the stats in Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.8, Shots 16–18, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 4–4, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–2, Fouls 5–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Yes — both Al Faisaly and Al Kholood scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.