FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 10 October 2026

Al Ettifaq 1–1 Al KhaleejMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Ettifaq or draw at 67%. Bawler had Al Ettifaq at 41%, the draw at 26% and Al Khaleej at 33%. The match finished 1–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Ettifaq win
41%
Draw
26%
Result
Al Khaleej win
33%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 2.7
From the match itself

The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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