What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
Saudi Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler's model rates this match: Abha are favoured (40% win probability vs 31% for Al Faisaly, 29% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler's predicted score is Abha 1-0 Al Faisaly: the most likely score if Abha win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.5%. Expected total goals: 2.4.
How does Bawler predict Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Abha 40%, the draw 29% and Al Faisaly 31%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Abha expecting 1.28 goals and Al Faisaly 1.11.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler's model expects 2.4 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 43%.