AFC Bournemouth beat SK Sturm Graz 3–0. AFC Bournemouth had 24 shots (8 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.4.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
AFC Bournemouth beat SK Sturm Graz 3–0. AFC Bournemouth had 24 shots (8 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.4.
AFC Bournemouth 3–0 SK Sturm Graz, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 78%, the draw 15% and SK Sturm Graz 7%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.4, Shots 24–6, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 15–4, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–18, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 3–0, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.