AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
78AFC Bournemouth win15Draw7SK Sturm Graz win
Full time
3–0

How it finished

AFC Bournemouth beat SK Sturm Graz 3–0. AFC Bournemouth had 24 shots (8 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.4.

BournemouthFull-time statsSK Sturm Graz
62%Possession38%
2.7Expected goals (xG)0.4
24Shots6
8Shots on target1
15Shots inside box4
3Big chances0
7Corners3
1Saves4
11Fouls18
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards3
We predicted
2–0
AFC Bournemouth to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.6v0.7
3.3 in total
Both teams score
46%
Leans no
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthSK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
2.6Goals0.7
15.7Shots5.2
4.6Corners2.2
AFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthSK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
1.2Goals0.3
6.9Shots2.4
2.2Corners1.0
AFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthSK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
1.5Goals0.4
8.8Shots2.8
2.5Corners1.2

What we said the chances were

AFC Bournemouth to score93%
2 or more goals85%
Goal before half-time77%

First half — what we expected

AFC Bournemouth
69%
to score before half-time
SK Sturm Graz
26%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

AFC BournemouthAFC BournemouthSK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
63%6+ shots<10%
38%8+ shots<10%
87%1+ shots on target84%
40%3+ shots on target35%
84%1+ corners58%
36%3+ corners11%

League position

SK Sturm Graz in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →AFC Bournemouth form →SK Sturm Graz form →

Common questions

Who won AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

AFC Bournemouth beat SK Sturm Graz 3–0. AFC Bournemouth had 24 shots (8 on target) to SK Sturm Graz's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.4.

What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

AFC Bournemouth 3–0 SK Sturm Graz, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 78%, the draw 15% and SK Sturm Graz 7%.

What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.4, Shots 24–6, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 15–4, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–18, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

No. It finished 3–0, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.