FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
SK Sturm Graz 2–3 NK CeljeMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
SK Sturm Graz win
53%
Draw
26%
NK Celje win
22%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.