AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 8 Sept · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 8 Sept · 19:45 UK
AFC Bournemouth 76Draw 15Lincoln City 9
Our call before kickoff
76%
AFC Bournemouth to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

AFC Bournemouth beat Lincoln City 4–0. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 35 shots (8 on target) to Lincoln City's 2 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.3.

BournemouthFull-time statsLincoln City
68%Possession32%
2.1Expected goals (xG)0.3
35Shots2
8Shots on target1
20Shots inside box2
3Big chances2
10Corners0
1Saves4
11Fouls8
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAFC Bournemouth to win 76%AFC Bournemouth won (76% called)
Total goals3.44
Both teams to score51%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AFC BournemouthLincoln City
2.6
Goals+1.8
0.8
14.1
Shots+2.2
11.9
4.6
On target+1.4
3.2
5.1
Corners+0.4
4.7
AFC BournemouthLincoln City
0.7
Goals+0.4
0.3
6.3
Shots+0.2
6.1
2.2
On target+0.6
1.6
2.4
Corners+0.2
2.2
AFC BournemouthLincoln City
2.0
Goals+1.5
0.5
7.8
Shots+2.0
5.8
2.4
On target+0.8
1.6
2.7
Corners+0.2
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
AFC Bournemouth to score93%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

AFC Bournemouth
68%
to score before half-time
Lincoln City
33%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

AFC BournemouthLincoln City
6.31st-half shots6.1
2.21st-half shots on target1.6
2.41st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

69%Chance of 5+ shots67%
43%Chance of 7+ shots41%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target76%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target23%
87%Chance of 1+ corners84%
41%Chance of 3+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · AFC Bournemouth6.37.8
Shots · Lincoln City6.15.8
Shots on target · AFC Bournemouth2.22.4
Shots on target · Lincoln City1.61.6
Corners · AFC Bournemouth2.42.7
Corners · Lincoln City2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.8 / match
Lincoln City in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City?

AFC Bournemouth beat Lincoln City 4–0. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 35 shots (8 on target) to Lincoln City's 2 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.3.

What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City?

AFC Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln City, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 76%, the draw 15% and Lincoln City 9%.

What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.3, Shots 35–2, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 20–2, Big chances 3–2, Corners 10–0, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City?

No. It finished 4–0, so Lincoln City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Lincoln City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth to win 76%, it finished AFC Bournemouth won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →Championship table →
All fixtures & results →AFC Bournemouth form →Lincoln City form →