AFC Bournemouth beat Lincoln City 4–0. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 35 shots (8 on target) to Lincoln City's 2 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
AFC Bournemouth beat Lincoln City 4–0. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. AFC Bournemouth had 35 shots (8 on target) to Lincoln City's 2 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.3.
AFC Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln City, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 76%, the draw 15% and Lincoln City 9%.
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.3, Shots 35–2, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 20–2, Big chances 3–2, Corners 10–0, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 4–0, so Lincoln City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth to win 76%, it finished AFC Bournemouth won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.