Aberdeen vs Rangers prediction — Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 12:00 UK

Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 12:00 UK
Aberdeen 22Draw 24Rangers 54
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Rangers beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Rangers' 18 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

AberdeenFull-time statsRangers
44%Possession56%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
10Shots18
2Shots on target5
5Shots inside box8
1Big chances1
6Corners6
3Saves2
21Fouls15
4Offsides2
6Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRangers 54%Rangers (54% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score58%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Missed
Second callAway Win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Rangers to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Aberdeen to score68%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

AberdeenBefore half-timeRangers
38%Chance to score58%
5.3Expected shots7.2
2.0Expected shots on target2.5
2.4Expected corners2.5
43%Chance of 6+ shots71%
19%Chance of 8+ shots43%
59%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
14%Chance of 4+ shots on target25%
66%Chance of 2+ corners69%
23%Chance of 4+ corners25%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 74%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ABE 0 · D 1 · RAN 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Rangers 4–1 Aberdeen
Jan 2026Aberdeen 0–2 Rangers
Jan 2026Rangers 2–0 Aberdeen
May 2025Rangers 4–0 Aberdeen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Rangers beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Rangers' 18 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Aberdeen 0–1 Rangers, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aberdeen 22%, the draw 24% and Rangers 54%.

What were the stats in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 5–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 21–15, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 6–3.

Did both teams score in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

No. It finished 0–1, so Aberdeen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Aberdeen vs Rangers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Rangers 54%, it finished Rangers (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Away Win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Aberdeen form →Rangers form →