FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Saturday, 08 August 2026
Dundee 0–1 AberdeenMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Dundee at 48%, draw at 30%, Aberdeen at 22%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-1. The model's headline call was Dundee to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Dundee win
48%
Draw
30%
Aberdeen win
22%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 75%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 53%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 27%
✓ Won