Aberdeen and Kilmarnock drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Aberdeen at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Kilmarnock's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Aberdeen at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Kilmarnock's 11 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.9.
Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aberdeen 47%, the draw 25% and Kilmarnock 28%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.9, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–7, Saves 4–2, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 5–3, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Aberdeen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Aberdeen or draw 72%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.