FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Rangers 3–1 KilmarnockMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Rangers to win at 76%. Bawler had Rangers at 76%, the draw at 15% and Kilmarnock at 9%. The match finished 3–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Rangers win
76%
Result
Draw
15%
Kilmarnock win
9%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.7 – 0.9
Total 3.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.6.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Rangers to win
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.