Moreirense vs Gil Vicente prediction — Liga Portugal · Fri 9 Oct · 18:45 UK

Liga Portugal · Fri 9 Oct · 18:45 UK
26Moreirense win28Draw46Gil Vicente win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Gil Vicente beat Moreirense 1–0. Moreirense had 12 shots (2 on target) to Gil Vicente's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.5.

MoreirenseFull-time statsGil Vicente
38%Possession62%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.5
12Shots13
2Shots on target3
7Shots inside box7
2Big chances2
4Corners3
2Saves2
12Fouls14
0Offsides2
3Yellow cards4
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Gil Vicente win (12%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.0v1.4
2.5 in total
Both teams score
49%
Leans no
3+ goals
45%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteGil Vicente
1.0Goals1.4
7.9Shots17.2
2.3On target5.3
1.7Corners4.5
MoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteGil Vicente
0.4Goals1.0
3.6Shots7.8
1.0On target2.5
0.8Corners2.1
MoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteGil Vicente
0.7Goals0.4
4.3Shots9.4
1.3On target2.7
0.9Corners2.4

What we said the chances were

3 goals or fewer77%
Gil Vicente to score76%
Goal before half-time75%
2 or more goals71%
Moreirense to score64%

First half — what we expected

Moreirense
31%
to score before half-time
Gil Vicente
64%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteGil Vicente
12%7+ shots60%
<10%9+ shots38%
27%2+ shots on target68%
<10%4+ shots on target26%
49%1+ corners83%
<10%3+ corners35%

League position

Gil Vicente in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente
Aug 2025Gil Vicente 2–0 Moreirense
Apr 2025Gil Vicente 0–1 Moreirense
Jan 2025Gil Vicente 1–0 Moreirense
Nov 2024Moreirense 3–2 Gil Vicente
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Moreirense form →Gil Vicente form →

Common questions

Who won Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Gil Vicente beat Moreirense 1–0. Moreirense had 12 shots (2 on target) to Gil Vicente's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moreirense 26%, the draw 28% and Gil Vicente 46%.

What were the stats in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.5, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–4.

Did both teams score in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

No. It finished 0–1, so Moreirense failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.