Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Werder Bremen
Team profile · GERMANY: Bundesliga

Werder Bremen Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.50
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.62
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
60%
3/5 calls

Werder Bremen prediction: Bawler's model rates Werder Bremen at 1.50 expected goals scored and 1.62 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Werder Bremen fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Werder Bremen sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.62. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.50 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Werder Bremen have been correct 60% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 1D 2L
Real goals
1.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Werder Bremen compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.50
Below average
Goals against
1.62
Tighter than most
Scored1.50
Conceded1.62

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.50 xG per match · -0.16 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Werder Bremen matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Werder Bremen in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
🏠 1.1✈️ 1.1
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
🏠 4.9✈️ 4.2
13.1
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
🏠 15.4✈️ 10.8
4.2
On target · per game
faced 5.2
🏠 4.7✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
16 May
0-2
vs Dortmund
🚩 4-5
09 May
0-1
@ Hoffenheim
🚩 3-8
02 May
1-3
vs Augsburg
🚩 8-2
26 Apr
1-1
@ Stuttgart
🚩 2-14
18 Apr
3-1
vs Hamburger SV
🚩 7-3
12 Apr
1-3
@ FC Koln
🚩 5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Werder Bremen matches
60%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Werder Bremen fixture, it is right 3 out of 5 (60%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INOskar WójcikCBfrom Cracovia€3m
INKarl HeinGKfrom Arsenal€3m
INKenny QuetantSTfrom Le HavreFree transfer
INChukiAMfrom Real ValladolidFree transfer
INCedric IttenSTfrom Fortuna DüsseldorfFree transfer
INAlexander SchlagerGKfrom SalzburgFree transfer
INDariusz StalmachCMfrom MagdeburgUndisclosed
OUTMio BackhausGKto Freiburg€12m
OUTRomano SchmidAMto Frosinone€8.5m
OUTLeonardo BittencourtDMto Energie CottbusFree transfer
OUTLeon OpitzAMto VfL OsnabrückLoan
OUTWesley AdehCBto Preussen MünsterLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Werder Bremen prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly