Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Union Berlin
Team profile · GERMANY: Bundesliga

Union Berlin Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.50
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.66
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
6/6 calls

Union Berlin prediction: Bawler's model rates Union Berlin at 1.50 expected goals scored and 1.66 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Union Berlin fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Union Berlin sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.66. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.83 a game against 1.50 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Union Berlin have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 2D 2L
Real goals
1.8 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Union Berlin compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.50
Below average
Goals against
1.66
Tighter than most
Scored1.50
Conceded1.66

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.50 xG per match · -0.17 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Union Berlin fixtures (5/5).

📊 Union Berlin in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 1.5✈️ 1.1
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 5.2✈️ 4.8
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 12.9
🏠 13.2✈️ 11.7
3.9
On target · per game
faced 4.4
🏠 4.3✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
16 May
4-0
vs Augsburg
🚩 4-9
10 May
3-1
@ Mainz
🚩 8-7
02 May
2-2
vs FC Koln
🚩 2-5
24 Apr
1-3
@ RB Leipzig
🚩 4-10
18 Apr
1-2
vs Wolfsburg
🚩 11-4
11 Apr
1-3
@ Heidenheim
🚩 5-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Union Berlin matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Union Berlin fixture, it is right 6 out of 6 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INEmmanuel Latte LathSTfrom Atlanta UnitedLoan
INZeno Van Den BoschCBfrom Royal AntwerpFree transfer
INStanley N'SokiCBfrom Hoffenheim€1.5m
INMarvin FriedrichCBfrom Borussia MönchengladbachFree transfer
OUTDanilho DoekhiCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTChris BediaSTto Al-Nasr SCUndisclosed
OUTAlex KrálCMto FC KøbenhavnFree transfer
OUTLászlo BénesAMto Gent€1.1m
OUTYannic SteinGKto Hansa RostockUndisclosed
OUTTom Wisbereitto AugsburgFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Union Berlin prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly