Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Hamburger SV
Team profile · GERMANY: Bundesliga

Hamburger SV Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
3
3 settled
Goals for
1.20
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.95
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
3/3 calls

Hamburger SV prediction: Bawler's model rates Hamburger SV at 1.20 expected goals scored and 1.95 conceded per match across 3 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 3 settled matches. No Hamburger SV fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Hamburger SV are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.95 expected goals a game against a Bundesliga average of 1.69. Across 3 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Hamburger SV have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 3 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 0D 2L
Real goals
1.7 – 2.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Hamburger SV compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.95
Leakier than most
Scored1.20
Conceded1.95

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.20 xG per match · -0.46 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.95 xG per match · +0.26 vs league average of 1.69.

📊 Hamburger SV in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.5✈️ 0.9
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 5.8
🏠 3.8✈️ 3.6
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 14.5
🏠 13.3✈️ 11.3
4.6
On target · per game
faced 5.1
🏠 4.7✈️ 4.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
16 May
1-1
@ Bayer Leverkusen
🚩 3-8
10 May
3-2
vs Freiburg
🚩 2-4
02 May
2-1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
🚩 4-9
25 Apr
1-2
vs Hoffenheim
🚩 4-9
18 Apr
1-3
@ Werder Bremen
🚩 3-7
12 Apr
0-4
@ Stuttgart
🚩 2-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INBilal NadirAMfrom MarseilleFree transfer
INAlbert GrønbækLWfrom Rennes€4.7m
INMartin AdelineAMfrom Troyes€4m
INPatson DakaSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INKofi AmoakoDMfrom Dynamo Dresden€1.8m
OUTRansford KönigsdörfferSTto Mainz 05Free transfer
OUTRobert GlatzelSTto Wolfsburg€1.7m
OUTLukasz PorebaDMto Elversberg€1.6m
OUTAboubaka SoumahoroCBto MallorcaLoan
OUTHannes Hermannto Jahn RegensburgLoan
OUTNoah KatterbachLMto Eintracht BraunschweigLoan
OUTLukas Bornscheinto VfL OsnabrückFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Hamburger SV prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly