Braga vs Estoril prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 20:45 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 14 Sept · 20:45 UK
65Braga win21Draw15Estoril win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.

BragaFull-time statsEstoril
58%Possession42%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.5
20Shots12
7Shots on target1
13Shots inside box8
3Big chances1
4Corners2
1Saves5
9Fouls12
3Offsides0
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
We predicted
2–0
Braga to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v0.9
3.1 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
60%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

BragaBragaEstorilEstoril
2.2Goals0.9
14.8Shots5.2
5.3On target1.8
4.2Corners2.0
BragaBragaEstorilEstoril
1.2Goals0.4
6.6Shots2.6
2.5On target1.0
2.0Corners1.0
BragaBragaEstorilEstoril
1.0Goals0.5
8.2Shots2.5
2.8On target0.9
2.2Corners1.1

What we said the chances were

Braga to score88%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time80%
3 goals or fewer63%
Estoril to score61%

First half — what we expected

Braga
70%
to score before half-time
Estoril
35%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

BragaBragaEstorilEstoril
59%6+ shots<10%
35%8+ shots<10%
89%1+ shots on target57%
44%3+ shots on target<10%
81%1+ corners56%
32%3+ corners10%

League position

Estoril in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Braga 1–1 Estoril
Dec 2025Estoril 1–0 Braga
Apr 2025Estoril 0–2 Braga
Dec 2024Braga 2–2 Estoril
Apr 2024Estoril 0–1 Braga
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Braga form →Estoril form →

Common questions

Who won Braga vs Estoril?

Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Braga vs Estoril?

Braga 1–0 Estoril, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 65%, the draw 21% and Estoril 15%.

What were the stats in Braga vs Estoril?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 20–12, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–4, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Braga vs Estoril?

No. It finished 1–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.