Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
Braga 1–0 Estoril, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 65%, the draw 21% and Estoril 15%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 20–12, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–4, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.