Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.
Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Casa Pia 23%, the draw 28% and Santa Clara 48%.
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.6, Shots 5–14, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–7, Saves 1–2, Fouls 17–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–5, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–1, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.