Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 UK
23Casa Pia win28Draw48Santa Clara win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.

Casa PiaFull-time statsSanta Clara
38%Possession62%
0.4Expected goals (xG)0.6
5Shots14
2Shots on target2
3Shots inside box5
1Big chances0
3Corners7
1Saves2
17Fouls13
2Offsides2
3Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Santa Clara win (13%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
0.9v1.4
2.4 in total
Both teams score
46%
Leans no
3+ goals
42%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Casa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta Clara
0.9Goals1.4
6.5Shots16.5
1.8On target5.0
3.0Corners4.4
Casa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta Clara
0.6Goals0.7
2.8Shots7.4
0.8On target2.2
1.4Corners2.1
Casa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta Clara
0.3Goals0.7
3.7Shots9.1
1.0On target2.7
1.6Corners2.4

What we said the chances were

3 goals or fewer78%
Santa Clara to score76%
Goal before half-time73%
2 or more goals69%
Casa Pia to score61%

First half — what we expected

Casa Pia
44%
to score before half-time
Santa Clara
52%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Casa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta Clara
11%6+ shots68%
<10%8+ shots44%
51%1+ shots on target86%
<10%3+ shots on target37%
69%1+ corners83%
18%3+ corners34%

League position

Santa Clara in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Casa Pia AC 0–0 Santa Clara
Dec 2025Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia AC
Feb 2025Santa Clara 2–1 Casa Pia AC
Aug 2024Casa Pia AC 0–2 Santa Clara
Jan 2023Casa Pia AC 2–1 Santa Clara
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Casa Pia form →Santa Clara form →

Common questions

Who won Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Casa Pia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Santa Clara's 14 (2), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Casa Pia 23%, the draw 28% and Santa Clara 48%.

What were the stats in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.6, Shots 5–14, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–7, Saves 1–2, Fouls 17–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–5, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

No. It finished 0–1, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.