Bawler / USA: MLS / Austin
Team profile · USA: MLS

Austin Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
10
10 settled
Goals for
1.18
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.72
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
90%
9/10 calls

Austin prediction: Bawler's model rates Austin at 1.18 expected goals scored and 1.72 conceded per match across 10 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 90% of the time. They have lost 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No Austin fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Austin are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.72 expected goals a game against a MLS average of 1.45. They have struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5. Across 10 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Austin have been correct 90% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 4D 5L
Real goals
1.1 – 2.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Austin compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.18
Below average
Goals against
1.72
Leakier than most
Scored1.18
Conceded1.72

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.18 xG per match · -0.30 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.72 xG per match · +0.27 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Austin fixtures (3/3).

📊 Austin in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.1
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.5
🏠 5.2✈️ 3.5
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.8
🏠 12.2✈️ 9.8
3.7
On target · per game
faced 5.2
🏠 3.9✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
10 Aug
3-0
vs Puebla
🚩 7-8
07 Aug
2-0
vs Club Tijuana
🚩 6-7
02 Aug
0-1
@ Colorado Rapids
🚩 0-11
26 Jul
0-3
@ Houston Dynamo
🚩 6-1
23 Jul
3-1
vs Seattle Sounders
🚩 4-4
23 May
0-3
@ St. Louis CITY
🚩 2-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Austin matches
90%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Austin fixture, it is right 9 out of 10 (90%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Austin by market
Goals (Over/Under)86%6/7
Result100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Austin fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Austin matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INPrzemyslaw PlachetaRWfrom Oxford UnitedFree transfer
INJon BellCBfrom Seattle Sounders FCFree transfer
INChristian RamirezSTfrom MLS PoolFree transfer
OUTDaniel PereiraDMto CF Montreal€1.8m
OUTNicolás DubersarskyCMto TigreLoan
OUTRobert TaylorRWto MLS PoolFree transfer
OUTAntonio GomezCBto Sporting Club JacksonvilleLoan
OUTStefan ClevelandGKto Sporting Kansas City€43k

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Austin prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly