Bolton Wanderers beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–1. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 19 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 10 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.6, so Wolverhampton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Bolton Wanderers beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–1. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 19 shots (3 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 10 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.6, so Wolverhampton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Bolton Wanderers, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wolverhampton Wanderers 62%, the draw 22% and Bolton Wanderers 16%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.6, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Yes — both Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton Wanderers scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.