FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Bristol CityMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Bolton Wanderers win
41%
Draw
26%
Bristol City win
33%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+2.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 3.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.