FT · England: Championship · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Norwich City 3–4 Bolton WanderersMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Norwich City win
56%
Draw
23%
Bolton Wanderers win
21%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.1
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 4
Total 7 (+3.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 3.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.