FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 WatfordMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
62%
Result
Draw
22%
Watford win
16%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.9
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.