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Who will win Willem II vs Excelsior?
Bawler's model rates this match: Excelsior are favoured (47% win probability vs 29% for Willem II, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Excelsior?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Willem II 1-1 Excelsior (11.2% probability). Expected total goals: 3.13.
How does Bawler predict Willem II vs Excelsior?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Willem II 29%, the draw 25% and Excelsior 47%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs Excelsior?
BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.36 and away expected goals 1.77.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Willem II vs Excelsior?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.13. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).