FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Willem II 0–1 Fortuna SittardMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Willem II win
36%
Draw
24%
Fortuna Sittard win
40%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.8
Total 3.4
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.