West Bromwich Albion beat Watford 1–0. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. West Bromwich Albion had 9 shots (4 on target) to Watford's 10 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
West Bromwich Albion beat Watford 1–0. Bawler's model had West Bromwich Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. West Bromwich Albion had 9 shots (4 on target) to Watford's 10 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.8.
West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Watford, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Bromwich Albion 46%, the draw 28% and Watford 26%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 18–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 5–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Watford failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Bromwich Albion or draw 74%, it finished West Bromwich Albion won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Missed.