Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
Vancouver Whitecaps 66Draw 21Houston Dynamo FC 13
The call
87%
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.

Vancouver…Full-time statsHouston…
63%Possession37%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.6
17Shots9
1Shots on target5
12Shots inside box6
2Big chances2
8Corners2
3Saves1
13Fouls12
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultVancouver Whitecaps 66%Houston Dynamo FC (13% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score49%No
Model call1X 87%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Vancouver Whitecaps to score88%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5VAN 1 · D 2 · HOU 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Aug 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC
Jul 2025Houston Dynamo FC 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Sept 2024Houston Dynamo FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 66%, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo FC 13%.

What were the stats in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

No. It finished 0–1, so Vancouver Whitecaps failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Vancouver Whitecaps 66%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC (13% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 87%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Vancouver Whitecaps form →Houston Dynamo FC form →