Belgium: Pro LeagueSunday 30 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Union St.-Gilloise vAnderlecht

Most likely scoreline
2–0
12% of the time · 2.90 goals expected
Union St.-Gilloise 63%Draw 25%Anderlecht 12%
How we get there
Union St.-GilloisestepAnderlecht
2.07Base xG · rolling 26-match0.83
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.07Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.83

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Union St.-Gilloise average 5.3 corners per game at home this season (4 competitive matches). Anderlecht average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
5
2
1
1
11
9
4
1
2
12
10
4
1
3
8
7
3
1
4
4
3
1
5
2
1
1
6
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Union St.-Gilloise fixtures & form →Anderlecht fixtures & form →

Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 24 May 2026, Union St.-Gilloise have won 1, Anderlecht have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
24 May 2026Union St.-Gilloise 5–1 AnderlechtBelgium: Pro League

The model's verdict for this fixture: Union St.-Gilloise 63% · draw 25% · Anderlecht 12%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Union St.-Gilloise predictions & form →Anderlecht predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.