Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht prediction — Jupiler Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:30 UK

Jupiler Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 17:30 UK
Union St.-Gilloise 58Draw 23Anderlecht 19
The call
81%
Union St.-Gilloise or draw
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

Union St.-Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Union St.-Gilloise had 15 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

Union…Full-time statsAnderlecht
46%Possession54%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.4
15Shots12
7Shots on target2
13Shots inside box8
2Big chances1
4Corners3
2Saves4
11Fouls14
6Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultUnion St.-Gilloise 58%Union St.-Gilloise (58% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score55%No
Model call1X 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Union St.-Gilloise to score86%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Anderlecht to score64%

First half — what we expected

Union St.-GilloiseBefore half-timeAnderlecht
58%Chance to score35%
7.5Expected shots3.6
2.8Expected shots on target1.2
2.5Expected corners1.5
60%Chance of 7+ shots9%
34%Chance of 9+ shots2%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target35%
30%Chance of 4+ shots on target4%
90%Chance of 1+ corners74%
44%Chance of 3+ corners19%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 72%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5UNI 4 · D 0 · AND 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Union St.Gilloise 5–1 Anderlecht
May 2026Union St.Gilloise 3–1 Anderlecht
Apr 2026Anderlecht 1–3 Union St.Gilloise
Nov 2025Anderlecht 1–0 Union St.Gilloise
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union St.-Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Union St.-Gilloise had 15 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union St.-Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 58%, the draw 23% and Anderlecht 19%.

What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.4, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

No. It finished 3–0, so Anderlecht failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Anderlecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Union St.-Gilloise 58%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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