FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 08 August 2026
KVC Westerlo 1–5 Union St.-GilloiseMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had KVC Westerlo at 36%, draw at 31%, Union St.-Gilloise at 33%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-5. The model's headline call was KVC Westerlo to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Westerlo win
36%
Draw
31%
St.-Gilloise win
33%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 75%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 53%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Away Win
Pre-match: 25%
✓ Won