Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Union St.-Gilloise
Team profile · Belgium: Pro League

Union St.-Gilloise Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
6 settled
Goals for
1.81
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.45
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
6/6 calls

Union St.-Gilloise prediction: for Union St.-Gilloise's next match — Union St.-Gilloise vs Zulte-Waregem on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Union St.-Gilloise win looks most likely (51%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Union St.-Gilloise sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.81 expected goals a game and conceding 1.45. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.67 a game against 1.81 expected. Next up is Zulte-Waregem, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 51%.

Next match

Home vs Zulte-Waregem · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
51%
This team
Draw
29%
Loss
20%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 83%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 1L
Real goals
2.7 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Union St.-Gilloise compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.81
Above average
Goals against
1.45
Tighter than most
Scored1.81
Conceded1.45

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.69 scored, 1.65 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.45 xG per match · -0.20 vs league average of 1.65.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Union St.-Gilloise fixtures (4/4).

📊 Union St.-Gilloise in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 3.7✈️ 1.7
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 3.7
🏠 4.0✈️ 6.7
16.8
Shots · per game
faced 9.5
🏠 15.0✈️ 18.7
6.8
On target · per game
faced 2.8
🏠 6.3✈️ 7.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
5-1
@ KVC Westerlo
🚩 5-4
04 Aug
3-3
vs Bodo/Glimt
🚩 5-0
24 May
5-1
vs Anderlecht
🚩 4-1
21 May
0-0
@ KAA Gent
🚩 5-8
17 May
0-5
@ Club Brugge
🚩 10-6
10 May
3-0
vs KV Mechelen
🚩 3-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Union St.-Gilloise matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Union St.-Gilloise fixture, it is right 6 out of 6 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Union St.-Gilloise by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Union St.-Gilloise fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Union St.-Gilloise matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INOndrej KricfalusiDMfrom Banik Ostrava€5m
INDarius OlaruAMfrom FCSBUndisclosed
INRelebohile MofokengLWfrom Orlando Pirates€3.5m
INHervé KoffiGKfrom LensLoan
INIlan HurteventAMfrom KortrijkUndisclosed
INNikki HavenaarCBfrom Ried€400k
INNohim ChibaniCBfrom QuevillyFree transfer
INKeo Boetsfrom DesselFree transfer
OUTKjell ScherpenGKto Ipswich Town€10m
OUTChristian BurgessCBto GentFree transfer
OUTChristian BurgessCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMamadou BarryCBto Al ShababLoan
OUTCristian Makatéto K. Lierse SKUndisclosed
OUTJens TeunckensGKto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Union St.-Gilloise prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly