TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 14:30 UK
67TSG Hoffenheim win18Draw15Hamburg SV win
Full time
2–3

How it finished

Hamburg SV beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. TSG Hoffenheim had 17 shots (4 on target) to Hamburg SV's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.1.

TSG…Full-time statsHamburg SV
64%Possession36%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.1
17Shots14
4Shots on target4
10Shots inside box9
0Big chances3
7Corners3
1Saves3
11Fouls15
3Offsides2
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–1
TSG Hoffenheim to win · 9% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.6v1.2
3.7 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
72%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimHamburg SVHamburg SV
2.6Goals1.2
TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimHamburg SVHamburg SV
1.1Goals0.5
TSG HoffenheimTSG HoffenheimHamburg SVHamburg SV
1.4Goals0.6

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

What we said the chances were

TSG Hoffenheim to score92%
2 or more goals89%
Goal before half-time81%
Hamburg SV to score69%

First half — what we expected

TSG Hoffenheim
68%
to score before half-time
Hamburg SV
40%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

League position

Hamburg SV in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Hamburger SV 1–2 Hoffenheim
Dec 2025Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV
Apr 2018Hoffenheim 2–0 Hamburger SV
Nov 2017Hamburger SV 3–0 Hoffenheim
Apr 2017Hamburger SV 2–1 Hoffenheim
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →TSG Hoffenheim form →Hamburg SV form →

Common questions

Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

Hamburg SV beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. TSG Hoffenheim had 17 shots (4 on target) to Hamburg SV's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.1.

What was the final score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburg SV, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with TSG Hoffenheim 67%, the draw 18% and Hamburg SV 15%.

What were the stats in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.1, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 0–3, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–0, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim and Hamburg SV scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.