FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Sunday, 13 September 2026
RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg SVMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
RB Leipzig win
63%
Result
Draw
20%
Hamburg SV win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.2
Total 3.5
Actual
5 – 0
Total 5 (+1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.