FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Hamburg SV 2–1 FC CologneMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Hamburg SV win
42%
Result
Draw
22%
FC Cologne win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.8
Total 3.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.8 against our forecast)
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.