How it finished
Strasbourg beat Troyes 6–2. Bawler's model had Strasbourg in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 8. Troyes had 27 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 19 (12), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Strasbourg beat Troyes 6–2. Bawler's model had Strasbourg in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 8. Troyes had 27 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 19 (12), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 3.2.
What was the final score in Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 27%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 48%.
What were the stats in Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–3.2, Shots 27–19, Shots on target 6–12, Shots inside box 19–16, Big chances 3–6, Corners 11–0, Saves 6–4, Fouls 6–16, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Yes — both Troyes and Strasbourg scored, finishing 2–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Troyes vs Strasbourg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Strasbourg or draw 73%, it finished Strasbourg won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.