Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 00:30 UK
39Toronto FC win24Draw36Orlando City SC win
Full time
3–3

How it finished

Toronto FC and Orlando City SC drew 3–3. Toronto FC had 16 shots (7 on target) to Orlando City SC's 14 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 2.3.

Toronto FCFull-time statsOrlando City
37%Possession63%
2.8Expected goals (xG)2.3
16Shots14
7Shots on target4
13Shots inside box13
5Big chances4
5Corners5
1Saves4
17Fouls12
3Offsides1
3Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Toronto FC win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.6
3.3 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
63%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Toronto FCToronto FCOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
1.7Goals1.6
20.4Shots14.2
6.5On target5.7
6.2Corners3.9
Toronto FCToronto FCOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
0.4Goals0.5
9.3Shots6.1
2.7On target2.3
2.9Corners1.8
Toronto FCToronto FCOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
1.2Goals1.1
11.1Shots8.1
3.8On target3.5
3.3Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Toronto FC to score81%
Orlando City SC to score80%
Goal before half-time60%

First half — what we expected

Toronto FC
34%
to score before half-time
Orlando City SC
40%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Toronto FCToronto FCOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
65%8+ shots30%
44%10+ shots14%
71%2+ shots on target62%
29%4+ shots on target21%
74%2+ corners51%
34%4+ corners14%

League position

Orlando City SC in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Sept 2026Orlando City 3–0 Toronto FC
Oct 2025Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City
Mar 2025Orlando City 4–2 Toronto FC
Jul 2024Toronto FC 1–2 Orlando City
Apr 2024Orlando City 1–2 Toronto FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Toronto FC form →Orlando City SC form →

Common questions

Who won Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Toronto FC and Orlando City SC drew 3–3. Toronto FC had 16 shots (7 on target) to Orlando City SC's 14 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 2.3.

What was the final score in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Toronto FC 3–3 Orlando City SC, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 39%, the draw 24% and Orlando City SC 36%.

What were the stats in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–2.3, Shots 16–14, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 13–13, Big chances 5–4, Corners 5–5, Saves 1–4, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Yes — both Toronto FC and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.