Toronto FC vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK
Toronto FC 40Draw 32New England Revolution 28
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 3 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 2.2, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.

Toronto FCFull-time statsNew England…
29%Possession71%
0.3Expected goals (xG)2.2
3Shots24
1Shots on target7
2Shots inside box17
0Big chances4
0Corners9
5Saves0
11Fouls5
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultToronto FC 40%Toronto FC (40% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 50%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Toronto FC to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
New England Revolution to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5TOR 2 · D 2 · NEW 1
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jul 2026New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC
Sept 2025New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC
May 2025Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution
Apr 2024Toronto FC 1–0 New England Revolution
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 3 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 2.2, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 40%, the draw 32% and New England Revolution 28%.

What were the stats in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–2.2, Shots 3–24, Shots on target 1–7, Shots inside box 2–17, Big chances 0–4, Corners 0–9, Saves 5–0, Fouls 11–5, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Yes — both Toronto FC and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Toronto FC 40%, it finished Toronto FC (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 50%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Toronto FC form →New England Revolution form →