How it finished
Ajax Amsterdam beat Telstar 4–0. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (9), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Ajax Amsterdam beat Telstar 4–0. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (9), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.1.
What was the final score in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Telstar 0–4 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 31%, the draw 24% and Ajax Amsterdam 45%.
What were the stats in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.1, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 5–5, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–2.
Did both teams score in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
No. It finished 0–4, so Telstar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Ajax Amsterdam 45%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said X2 69%, it finished Landed.