Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Telstar

Team profile · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie

Telstar Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5 settled

Goals for

1.72

Expected, per match

Goals against

2.01

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

80%

4/5 calls

Telstar prediction: for Telstar's next match — Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam on Friday 14 Aug, 18:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Telstar win looks most likely (51%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Telstar are vulnerable at the back, conceding 2.01 expected goals a game against a Eredivisie average of 1.69. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.72 expected. Form is with them: 5 straight wins. Next up is Sparta Rotterdam, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 51%.

Next match

Home vs Sparta Rotterdam · Friday 14 Aug, 18:00 UTC

Win

51%

Telstar

Draw

27%

Loss

22%

Opponent

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

5W 0D 0L

Real goals

2.2 – 0.6

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Telstar compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for

1.72

Above average

Goals against

2.01

Leakier than most

Scored1.72

Conceded2.01

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says

Leaky defensively

Conceding 2.01 xG per match · +0.32 vs league average of 1.69.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Telstar fixtures (4/5).

On a 5-match winning run

Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

Squad availability · Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam

Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 Telstar in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.5

Goals · per game

let in 1.6

🏠 1.8✈️ 1.1

4.7

Corners · per game

give up 6.4

🏠 5.3✈️ 4.1

12.5

Shots · per game

faced 16.0

🏠 13.5✈️ 11.5

4.7

On target · per game

faced 6.1

🏠 5.4✈️ 4.1

🗓️ Last 6 games

08 Aug

2-1

@ Nijmegen

🚩 3-13

17 May

2-1

@ Volendam

🚩 0-7

10 May

3-0

vs Heracles

🚩 6-7

02 May

1-0

@ Nijmegen

🚩 0-4

22 Apr

4-1

vs Sparta Rotterdam

🚩 6-5

11 Apr

1-4

@ Utrecht

🚩 5-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Telstar matches

80%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Telstar fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.