FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Heerenveen 0–0 TelstarMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Heerenveen win
52%
Draw
23%
Result
Telstar win
25%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.4
Total 3.4
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 3.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.