FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Saturday, 08 August 2026
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 TelstarMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had NEC Nijmegen at 59%, draw at 24%, Telstar at 17%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-2. The model's headline call was NEC Nijmegen to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Nijmegen win
59%
Draw
24%
Telstar win
17%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 83%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 22%
✓ Won