Sunderland vs Fulham prediction — Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 30 Aug · 14:00 UK
Sunderland 36Draw 28Fulham 36
The call
72%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Sunderland beat Fulham 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 36% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (4 on target) to Fulham's 10 (0), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.

SunderlandFull-time statsFulham
42%Possession58%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.8
12Shots10
4Shots on target0
9Shots inside box6
3Big chances2
3Corners4
0Saves3
10Fouls15
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSunderland 36%Sunderland (36% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score52%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 72%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Sunderland to score72%
Fulham to score72%

First half — what we expected

SunderlandBefore half-timeFulham
34%Chance to score36%
6.1Expected shots5.3
1.9Expected shots on target1.8
2.9Expected corners2.0
71%Chance of 5+ shots58%
41%Chance of 7+ shots29%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
28%Chance of 3+ shots on target26%
76%Chance of 2+ corners58%
33%Chance of 4+ corners16%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 58%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SUN 0 · D 1 · FUL 4
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Sunderland 1–3 Fulham
Nov 2025Fulham 1–0 Sunderland
Feb 2023Sunderland 2–3 Fulham
Jan 2023Fulham 1–1 Sunderland
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sunderland vs Fulham?

Sunderland beat Fulham 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 36% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (4 on target) to Fulham's 10 (0), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Sunderland vs Fulham?

Sunderland 1–0 Fulham, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 36%, the draw 28% and Fulham 36%.

What were the stats in Sunderland vs Fulham?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 0–3, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?

No. It finished 1–0, so Fulham failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sunderland 36%, it finished Sunderland (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 72%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Sunderland form →Fulham form →