Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers prediction — MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 01:30 UK
33Sporting Kansas City win24Draw43Portland Timbers win
Full time
3–3

How it finished

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers drew 3–3. Sporting Kansas City had 12 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 9 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

Sporting…Full-time statsPortland…
46%Possession54%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.4
12Shots9
5Shots on target5
8Shots inside box4
3Big chances3
6Corners1
2Saves2
17Fouls9
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Portland Timbers win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.8
3.3 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
1.5Goals1.8
16.6Shots17.5
5.3On target6.5
4.1Corners5.8
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
0.6Goals0.8
7.4Shots8.1
2.3On target3.0
1.9Corners2.7
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
0.9Goals0.9
9.2Shots9.4
3.0On target3.5
2.2Corners3.1

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Portland Timbers to score83%
Sporting Kansas City to score78%
Goal before half-time77%

First half — what we expected

Sporting Kansas City
47%
to score before half-time
Portland Timbers
57%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersPortland Timbers
56%7+ shots64%
34%9+ shots41%
63%2+ shots on target76%
22%4+ shots on target35%
53%2+ corners71%
16%4+ corners30%

League position

Portland Timbers in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City
May 2025Portland Timbers 1–0 Sporting Kansas City
Apr 2025Sporting Kansas City 2–4 Portland Timbers
May 2024Portland Timbers 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
Apr 2024Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Sporting Kansas City form →Portland Timbers form →

Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers drew 3–3. Sporting Kansas City had 12 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 9 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 33%, the draw 24% and Portland Timbers 43%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 2–2, Fouls 17–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.