Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals at 80% confidence is the play—Minnesota's expected-goal edge of 0.34 combined with a combined xG total of 2.98 signals a high-volume attacking setup that favors goals.
Sporting Kansas CitystepMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Minnesota United average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Sporting Kansas City 28% · draw 30% · Minnesota United 43%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.